Forecasting 10-Day-Ahead Portfolio Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall: Univariate vs. Multivariate Approaches

Work in Progress ...

September 2026 · Manuel Schick, Anne Opschoor
Implied quarterly SPF forecasts

Implied Quarterly Forecasts from Annual Projections in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters

Work in Progress ...

October 2025 · Friederike Becker, Manuel Schick