Scenario-based SPF GDP density forecasts

Multivariate Economic Tail Risk and Scenario Analysis using the Survey of Professional Forecasters

Working Paper — submitted, under review ...

April 2026 · Manuel Schick, Anne Opschoor
Real-time SPF density forecasts

Nowcasting Growth-at-Risk using the Survey of Professional Forecasters

Job Market Paper — submitted, under review ...

June 2024 · Manuel Schick